GLOBAL RECESSION DUE TO CORONAVIRUS.


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PPT on GLOBAL RECESSION DUE TO CORONAVIRUS.

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GLOBAL RECESSION DUE TO CORONAVIRUS.

GLOBAL RECESSION DUE TO CORONAVIRUS INTRODUCTION • Corona virus disease (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by a new virus named as SARS-CoV-2. • The disease causes respiratory illness with symptoms such as a cough, fever, and in more severe cases, difficulty breathing. • It spreads primarily through contact with an infected person when they cough or sneeze.  COVID-19 STATUS IN THE WORLD • Total COVID-19 cases in the world has reached to 2.4 million with highest cases in USA(767190). • Apart from USA , Spain, Italy, France and Germany has effected very badly. COVID-19 STATUS IN INDIA • In India confirmed cases of COVID-19 has reached to 17487 with around 14202 active cases. • Total recovered cases has reached to 1359 with number of death 393. GLOBAL RECESSION • Covid-19 as it spread across China, global financial markets reacted strongly. • when the virus spread to Europe and the Middle East, stoking fears of a global pandemic. WHAT MARKETS ARE TELLING • Global financial markets might seem to indicate that the world economy is on a path to recession. • Valuations of safe assets have spiked sharply, As a result, mechanical models of recession risk have ticked higher. COVID-19-INDUCED RECESSION • Real recession:  – This is a CapEx boom cycle that turns to bust and derails the expansion. – It’s here that Covid-19 has the greatest chance to infect its host. COVID-19-INDUCED RECESSION • Policy recession :  – Central banks leave policy rates too high relative to the economy’s “neutral” rate. – Federal Reserve has delivered a surprise cut of 50 basis points. – Outside of the monetary policy response, the G7 finance ministers have also pledged fiscal support. COVID-19-INDUCED RECESSION • Financial crisis :  – Financial crisis risks are difficult to point to. Some commentators point to the bubble in corporate credit, as seen in significant issuance and tight spreads. – It’s difficult to see Covid-19 contributing to financial imbalances, but stress could arise from cash flow strains, particular in small and medium enterprises (SMEs). WHAT SHOULD LEADERS DO IN RELATION TO ECONOMIC RISKS? • Don’t become dependent on projections.  • Focus on consumer confidence signals. • Plan for the best and prepare for the worst trajectories. • Begin to look past the crisis.  THANK YOU