Macroeconomic Report by the Indian Finance Ministry.


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Macroeconomic Report by the Indian Finance Ministry.

Macroeconomic Report by the Indian Finance Ministry Introduction • For the month December and January recently government has published macroeconomic report. • In the coming slides, the top 10 learnings from the report will be discussed. Source: Scroll.in Growth Rate • The IMF predicted a contraction of 4.5 percent (-4.5 percent growth) for India in 2020, a downward change of 6.4 percentage points compared to the April 2020 estimate, the Economics Department said in its June macroeconomic report. Source: New Indian Express With Reference to COVID-19 • The economic growth of pre-COVID days, if and when restored by opening the economy more fully, will lean heavily on the reforms undertaken today to improve its potential tomorrow Source: ET Policy Measures • The government and the RBI have taken prompt policy measures, both in the short and long term, in a calibrated way to revive an economy that is already slowing before the coronavirus outbreak starts. • The RBI and the government's proper preparation of the economic downturn in March has made the policy climate conducive. Source: Freepik Social Reforms • The Center's structural reforms and social welfare initiatives would help create green shoots in the economy, the report said, adding that its stimulus package "Atmanirbhar Bharat" has accelerated reforms at a time when the pandemic has led to government fiscal constraints and hindered government expenditure. Source: Wikipedia Revenue Collection • The disruption in economic activity due to COVID-19 in April and May has contributed to a shortfall in government revenue collection. Source: SAG infotech blog Crisis of Pandemic • According to the report, the world is witnessing an unprecedented crisis since January 2020, with the "highly contagious" COVID-19 rapidly hitting major world economies. • Industrial Production Index (IIP) grew by 1.8 percent in November 2019, compared with an increase of 0.2 percent in November 2018. • In December 2019, the value of exports and imports of merchandise (in terms of US$) declined by 1.8 per cent and 8.8 per cent respectively. Source: ET Auto Effect of Pandemic • According to the study on domestic financial markets, the effect of COVID-19 on the economy is rapidly changing, which drives regular market volatility. • With enormous uncertainty about the pandemic stemming from the unknown and the inability to plan or know what's next, this uncertainty is expected to adversely affect the business climate and make their investment plans firmly delayed. Source: TOI Trade Crisis • It is anticipated that COVID-19 disease and lockdown will leave an adverse impact on trade. However, on the back of relatively sharper declines in imports and lower oil prices the overall effect on net exports can be positive. • The country's trade deficit-or export shortfall as compared to imports-narrowed in May 2020 to $3.1 billion-the lowest since February 2009. Source: The Week Declined Growth due to COVID19 • India recently overtook Russia as the third worst-affected country in the world with nearly 7,00,000 cases of COVID-19, behind only the US and Brazil, as the outbreak shows no sign of slowing down. Source: Pixabay Low GDP • India's current-account deficit as a percentage of GDP was 0.9 percent in Q2 2019-20, compared to 2.9 percent in the previous year's corresponding period. • The total production of kharif food grains is estimated at 140.6 million tonnes, based on the first advance estimates for 2019-20. Source: ET