An Overview to understand Monetarism.


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An Overview to understand Monetarism.

AN OVERVIEW TO UNDERSTAND MONETARISM WHAT IS MONETARISM?  Monetarism is a macroeconomic theory stating that governments can foster economic stability by targeting the growth rate of the money supply. Source: www.investopedia.com BACKGROUND ON MONETARISM  Monetarists believe monetary policy is more effective than fiscal policy (government spending and tax policy).  Stimulus spending adds to the money supply, but it creates a deficit adding to a country's sovereign debt. That could increase interest rates. Source: www. thebalance.com BACKGROUND ON MONETARISM CONT.  Monetarists say that central banks are more powerful than the government because they control the money supply.  They also tend to watch real interest rates rather than nominal rates. Source: www. thebalance.com MONEY SUPPLY  Money supply has become a less useful measure of liquidity than in the past.  However, the money supply does not measure other assets, such as stocks, commodities and home equity. People are more likely to save money by investing in the stock market because they receive a better return. Source: www. thebalance.com HOW IT WORKS?  When the money supply expands, it lowers interest rates. This is due to banks having more to lend, so they are willing to charge lower rates.  That means consumers borrow more to buy items like houses, automobiles, and furniture. Source: www. thebalance.com HOW IT WORKS CONT.  Decreasing the money supply raises interest rates, making loans more expensive this slows economic growth.  This is a targeted rate the Fed sets for banks to charge each other for overnight loans, and it impacts all other interest rates. Source: www. thebalance.com MILTON FRIEDMAN IS THE FATHER OF MONETARISM  Milton Friedman popularized the theory of monetarism in his 1967 address to the American Economic Association.  He said that the antidote to inflation was higher interest rates, which in turn reduces the money supply. Source: www. thebalance.com GOLDILOCKS ECONOMY  The belief is that if the Fed were to properly manage the money supply and inflation, it would theoretically create a Goldilocks economy, where low unemployment and an acceptable level of inflation are prevalent. Source: www. thebalance.com EXAMPLE OF MONETARISM  Federal Reserve Chair Paul Volcker used the concept of monetarism to end stagflation.  By raising the federal funds rate to 20% in 1980, the money supply was reduced drastically, consumers stopped purchasing as much, and businesses stopped raising prices.  That ended the out-of-control inflation, but it helped create the 1980-82 recession. Source: www. thebalance.com THE FAILURE OF MONETARISM  the connection link between money supply and price levels seems to have been overestimated, as was proved in the failure of monetary economics in the last 1970s and early 1980s.  Also known as the Federal Reserve’s Monetarist Experiment, the monetary tightening was not able to curb short-term inflation during this period. Source: www. thebalance.com