Uploaded on Sep 23, 2020
PPT on Solar Cycle 25 by NASA.
Solar Cycle 25 by NASA.
Solar Cycle 25 by NASA INTRODUCTION •Solar Cycle 25 in now underway, as NASA and NOAA announced on September 15, 2020. •This means that our star, the Sun, has passed from one of its 11-year activity cycles into another. Source: almanac.com/ WHAT IS SOLAR CYCLE? •The solar cycle can be defined as the solar cycle is the cycle that the Sun’s magnetic field goes through approximately every 11 years. • NASA’s forecast for the next solar cycle (25) reveals it will be the weakest of the last 200 years. Source: NASA MAGNETIC FLOW • There seems to be an ebb and flow or “cycle” to this magnetic flow and movement. •In a solar cycle, there is a “minimum” when the Sun is least active and a “maximum” when the Sun is the most active. Source: Wikipedia SUN SPOT • In areas where the magnetic fields are particularly strong, we may see a black spot called a sunspot emerge on the surface of the Sun. •This is indicative of a sun storm and a lot of activity beneath the surface. •More sunspots means more solar activity. Source: NASA SOLAR CYCLE 24 • Solar Cycle 24 was the most recent solar cycle, the 24th since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. •Solar Cycle 24 lasted 11 years, which is average, though it was the weakest cycle in 100 years. Source: almanac.com/ SOLAR CYCLE 25 • As Solar Cycle 25 begins, we are coming out of the minimum or bottom of the cycles which happened in December 2019 when the sunspot numbers fell to its lowest in 13 month (with sunspots at only 1.8). • Solar maximum occurred in April 2014 with sunspots peaking at 114 for the solar cycle, well below average, which is 179. Source: spaceweatherlive.com/ SOLAR CYCLE 25 PREDICTIONS PREDICTION: 1 • Cycle 25 will be similar in size to Cycle 24, preceded by a long, deep minimum. •Solar Cycle 25 may have a slow start, but is anticipated to peak with solar maximum occurring between 2023 and 2026, and a sunspot range of 95 to 130. •This is well below the average number of sunspots, which typically ranges Source: spaceweatherlive.com/ from 140 to 220 sunspots per solar cycle.” PREDICTION: 2 • Solar Maximum (Peak): between 2023 and 2026. •Specifically, the experts predicted: a peak in July, 2025 (+/- 8 months), with a smoothed sunspot number (SSN) of 115. Source: NASA PREDICTION: 3 • The panel agreed that Cycle 25 will be average in intensity and similar to Cycle 24, and its peak will be similar as well. •Additionally, the panel concurred that solar minimum between Cycles 24 and 25 will occur in April, 2020 (+/- 6 months). Source: Earthsky CONCLUSION • In other words, expect the rest of 2020 to be very quiet with low solar activity. •This is not to say there won’t be some solar storms, but it should be relatively uneventful. Source: The Indian Express
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