The Second Wave of COVID-19 in India.
                     The Second Wave of COVID-19 in India
INTRODUCTION
• The most striking feature of India’s second wave of infections has been the 
speed at which the numbers have been growing. 
• On Friday, more than 62,000 positive cases were detected in the country. Just 
ten days ago, this daily count of cases was less than 30,000.
Source: indianexpress.com
1st Wave Vs. 2nd Wave
• Last time, it had taken 23 days for India to move from 30,000 cases a day to 
60,000. And, at that time, in July and August last year, there were far greater 
number of susceptible people who could have been infected. 
Source: indianexpress.com
Critical proportion of the population
• After infecting a critical proportion of the population, the spread of the 
epidemic is expected to slow down. This critical proportion is not necessarily 
50 per cent.
Source: indianexpress.com
Critical infection level
• Five months of continuous decline in coronavirus numbers, after the peak 
achieved in middle of September, had given rise to hopes that the critical 
infection level in the community had already been reached. 
Source: indianexpress.com
Possibility of a fresh wave
• Though the possibility of a fresh waves was never ruled out, it was expected 
that these would only be short-lived with lower and lower peaks compared to 
that achieved in September.
Source: indianexpress.com
Real threat of the September
• However, at the rate at which new infections are getting detected, there seems 
to be a real threat of the September peak getting surpassed. Till now, the 
second wave has been powered primarily by Maharashtra. 
Source: indianexpress.com
State wise data
• States like Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu have just begun to show 
the surge. Apart from Maharashtra and Kerala, the two states that have 
reported more than 10,000 cases in a day, are Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh
Source: indianexpress.com
Tamil Nadu’s peak
• Tamil Nadu’s peak is at 7,000. Tamil Nadu and Karnataka have started reporting 
about 2,000 cases a day now, after seeing their daily counts drop to less than 
500 in February.
Source: indianexpress.com
Andhra Pradesh’s peak
• Andhra Pradesh, whose daily count had dropped to double digits in the first 
week of February, is now approaching 1,000 cases a day. 
• If they go the Maharashtra way, and surpass their previous peaks, India’s 
second wave could be much worse than the first.
Source: indianexpress.com
Bihar and West Bengal
• While Bihar and West Bengal had peaked around 4,000 last time, Uttar Pradesh 
had reported more than 7,000 cases in a day in September. 
• West Bengal and Assam are going through election season, with large crowds 
participating in political rallies. 
Source: indianexpress.com